Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.553297 0.724265 0.918974 1.154113 1.427388 1.732129 2.094771
2025-04-27 0.327093 0.535792 0.807339 1.172509 1.637032 2.195369 2.904124
2025-05-04 0.177415 0.379123 0.682881 1.136841 1.763125 2.564607 3.635241
2025-05-11 0.089760 0.265366 0.576464 1.092581 1.859204 2.894354 4.335860
2025-05-18 0.047156 0.200245 0.519236 1.100048 2.017051 3.308427 5.164073
2025-05-25 0.020136 0.141255 0.448131 1.065448 2.101311 3.619737 5.865775
2025-06-01 0.010531 0.118365 0.437822 1.128134 2.335176 4.151291 6.887487
2025-06-08 0.003772 0.089563 0.400816 1.132316 2.471326 4.543448 7.726505
2025-06-15 0.001717 0.079878 0.407125 1.219184 2.748364 5.155178 8.895074
2025-06-22 0.000481 0.066986 0.398112 1.271729 2.968210 5.686854 9.962532
2025-06-29 0.000039 0.053110 0.378057 1.295784 3.137372 6.144526 10.933002
2025-07-06 NaN 0.037035 0.338126 1.266195 3.204912 6.442526 11.673796
2025-07-13 NaN 0.027593 0.317191 1.279080 3.355310 6.884955 12.653644
2025-07-20 NaN 0.020241 0.298220 1.292687 3.507247 7.335199 13.657647
2025-07-27 NaN 0.012134 0.261780 1.251423 3.547687 7.602722 14.390319
2025-08-03 NaN 0.006462 0.226442 1.202554 3.566241 7.831670 15.067090
2025-08-10 NaN 0.004020 0.211469 1.209696 3.698813 8.256253 16.055416
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001776 0.184977 1.172337 3.732876 8.511110 16.781953
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001397 0.189128 1.238989 3.995566 9.170130 18.158542
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000660 0.176451 1.243327 4.120695 9.590693 19.163495
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000613 0.187258 1.335798 4.447253 10.374584 20.760444
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000405 0.188300 1.391671 4.693494 11.020833 22.146135
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000181 0.181797 1.417232 4.871759 11.549583 23.350883